ES Rades 1-3 AS Marsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 20 Dec 2024

ES Rades
1-3
AS Marsa
📅20/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme – 2024/2025

ES Rades vs AS Marsa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.09
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
41%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.51
No
70%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
17%
+11.7pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
41%
Away Win
56%
-14.4pp
30%
BTTS Yes
36%
-5.6pp
70%
BTTS No
64%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ES Rades v AS Marsa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Rades EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Marsa EU Bookmakers 59%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-100% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +122% / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
250 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards –

ES Rades vs AS Marsa Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Rades
0W-0D-2L
AWAY AS Marsa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.03.2023 ES Rades ES Rades 1-3 HT 0-2 AS Marsa AS Marsa TUN2
12.11.2022 AS Marsa AS Marsa 2-0 HT 0-0 ES Rades ES Rades TUN2
POST-MATCH ES Rades vs AS Marsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Marsa saw off ES Rades 3-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AS Marsa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (70%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AS Marsa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for ES Rades and 2.50 for AS Marsa.

What was the final score of ES Rades vs AS Marsa?

ES Rades 1-3 AS Marsa in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Rades vs AS Marsa?

Before kick-off our model rated an AS Marsa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split ES Rades 29%, draw 30%, AS Marsa 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Marsa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AS Marsa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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