Kampala City 1-1 SC Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 20 Dec 2024

📅20/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.4pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.4pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.6pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kampala City EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Villa EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.00/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.18
-26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kampala City
1W-2D-0L
AWAY SC Villa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.05.2024 Kampala City Kampala City 2-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
12.03.2022 Kampala City Kampala City 0-0 HT 0-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
18.12.2021 SC Villa SC Villa 1-1 HT 0-0 Kampala City Kampala City UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kampala City
1-1
AWAY SC Villa
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kampala City vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kampala City and SC Villa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Kampala City at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kampala City had 54% of the ball to SC Villa's 46%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kampala City had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kampala City and 0.33 for SC Villa.

What was the final score of Kampala City vs SC Villa?

Kampala City 1-1 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kampala City vs SC Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kampala City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kampala City 52%, draw 23%, SC Villa 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kampala City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kampala City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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