Doncaster Rovers 1-5 Plymouth Argyle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.91
Over
46%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.72
No
52%
2.0
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.32
2-3
40%
1.77
4-5
22%
3.32
6+
8%
12.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.32 — our 30% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.54
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
19%
4.55
X/2
12%
8.09
X/X
9%
5.04
2/1
7%
23.55
2/2
13%
6.14
2/X
6%
14.75
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Plymouth Argyle The Market 29%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.74 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.07
1.11 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.78
Average Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Average Defensevs comparable teams Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.2 Crosses 15.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.14 xG 2.47
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
228 Passes 322
65% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2022 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-3 HT 1-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
25.09.2021 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-1 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
06.03.2021 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
27.10.2020 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-1 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
13.04.2019 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
29.09.2018 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-3 HT 1-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
1-5
AWAY Plymouth Argyle
1.02 xG 2.38
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
15 Corners 4
259 Passes 228
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
38 Box Touches 27
38 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Doncaster Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Plymouth Argyle swept aside Doncaster Rovers 5-1 on the road. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Doncaster Rovers at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 48%. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.72, about 58%.

By the numbers, Doncaster Rovers had 55% of the ball to Plymouth Argyle's 45%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.02 to 2.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 1.67 for Plymouth Argyle.

Doncaster Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle Result & Final Score

Doncaster Rovers 1-5 Plymouth Argyle in the England - 1st Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Doncaster Rovers vs Plymouth Argyle Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 49%, draw 22%, Plymouth Argyle 29%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
20 Dec 2025
15:30 Stevenage vs Burton Albion Analysis →
15:30 Wigan Athletic vs Blackpool Analysis →
18:00 Exeter City vs Barnsley Analysis →
18:00 Port Vale vs Peterborough United Analysis →
18:00 Rotherham United vs Huddersfield Town Analysis →
18:00 Leyton Orient vs Bradford City Analysis →