Port Vale 0-1 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.95
Over
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.64
No
46%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.39
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
20%
3.26
6+
10%
11.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.25
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
13%
5.27
X/2
10%
6.43
X/X
12%
4.92
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
17%
4.41
2/X
7%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Vale The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United The Market 36%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.50 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.14
1.02 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.39
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
254 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
25.7 Crosses 17.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Vale
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Peterborough United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.63 xG 1.57
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
271 Passes 362
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-0 HT 1-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
24.10.2023 Port Vale Port Vale 0-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
16.01.2023 Port Vale Port Vale 0-2 HT 0-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
24.09.2022 Peterborough United Peterborough United 3-0 HT 2-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
04.02.2017 Port Vale Port Vale 0-3 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
10.09.2016 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-2 HT 1-1 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Port Vale
0-1
AWAY Peterborough United
1.17 xG 1.65
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
201 Passes 384
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 29
21 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Port Vale vs Peterborough United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Peterborough United shaded a tight game against Port Vale 1-0 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Peterborough United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-yes price stood at 1.64, roughly 61%.

Under the surface, Peterborough United saw more of the ball, 62% to 38%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.17 to 1.65.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peterborough United led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.33 a game for Port Vale against 2.33 for Peterborough United.

Port Vale vs Peterborough United Result & Final Score

Port Vale 0-1 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Port Vale vs Peterborough United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 40%, draw 26%, Peterborough United 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Port Vale), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Port Vale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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