Leganes vs Sporting Gijon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leganes v Sporting Gijon — Team-Based Signals
Leganes vs Sporting Gijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Leganes
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
2-2
HT 2-1
Leganes
İS2
1-1
HT 0-1
Sporting Gijon
İS2
2-1
HT 1-0
Leganes
İS2
Leganes 0-1 Sporting Gijon — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Gijon nicked a narrow win over Leganes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Leganes at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Leganes had 60% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 40%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.80 to 1.02.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leganes had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leganes and 1.17 for Sporting Gijon.
What was the final score of Leganes vs Sporting Gijon?
Leganes 0-1 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leganes vs Sporting Gijon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Leganes 41%, draw 29%, Sporting Gijon 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leganes) went the other way.