Leganes vs Sporting Gijon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leganes v Sporting Gijon — Team-Based Signals
Leganes vs Sporting Gijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Leganes
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
2-2
HT 2-1
Leganes
İS2
1-1
HT 0-1
Sporting Gijon
İS2
2-1
HT 1-0
Leganes
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
Leganes 2-1 Sporting Gijon — Actual Match Statistics
Leganes squeezed past Sporting Gijon 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Leganes as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Leganes had 30% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 70%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.66 to 0.68.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leganes and 1.00 for Sporting Gijon.
What was the final score of Leganes vs Sporting Gijon?
Leganes 2-1 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leganes vs Sporting Gijon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leganes win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Leganes 49%, draw 29%, Sporting Gijon 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leganes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.