Tenerife 0-1 Amorebieta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.63
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 36% vs market 32.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.76
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.3
X/1
15%
4.2
X/2
6%
7.38
X/X
15%
4.01
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
12%
6.1
2/X
5%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-3.7pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.1pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.38/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.45
-15% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
314 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
20.0 Crosses 23.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Amorebieta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.87 xG 0.52
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
318 Passes 229
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
30 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2023 Amorebieta Amorebieta 2-0 HT 1-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
07.01.2022 Amorebieta Amorebieta 1-1 HT 1-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
10.10.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 2-1 HT 1-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife
0-1
AWAY Amorebieta
1.27 xG 1.31
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
413 Passes 300
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tenerife vs Amorebieta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amorebieta edged past Tenerife 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Tenerife at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Tenerife had 56% of the ball to Amorebieta's 44%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.27 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tenerife and 1.33 for Amorebieta.

What was the final score of Tenerife vs Amorebieta?

Tenerife 0-1 Amorebieta in the Spain - 2nd Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife vs Amorebieta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tenerife 43%, draw 32%, Amorebieta 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tenerife) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tenerife) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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