FC Andorra 1-0 Burgos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.73
No
58%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 34% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.25
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
10%
12.75
X/1
19%
5.04
X/2
15%
6.29
X/X
10%
4.37
2/1
5%
27.5
2/2
10%
4.45
2/X
5%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
54%
-12.0pp
58%
BTTS No
46%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Andorra EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Burgos EU Bookmakers 34%
-19% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -16%
1.13/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.19
-46% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
17.7 Crosses 20.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Andorra
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Burgos
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.84 xG 1.32
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
579 Passes 182
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Burgos Burgos 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Andorra FC Andorra İS2
15.01.2023 Burgos Burgos 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Andorra FC Andorra İS2
12.10.2022 FC Andorra FC Andorra 0-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
16.12.2020 Burgos Burgos 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Andorra FC Andorra İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Andorra
1-0
AWAY Burgos
1.77 xG 1.69
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
474 Passes 334
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Andorra vs Burgos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Andorra nicked a narrow win over Burgos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Andorra as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, FC Andorra had 58% of the ball to Burgos's 42%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.77 to 1.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Burgos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for FC Andorra and 1.25 for Burgos.

What was the final score of FC Andorra vs Burgos?

FC Andorra 1-0 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Andorra vs Burgos?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Andorra win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Andorra 44%, draw 25%, Burgos 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Andorra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Andorra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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