Atletico Astorga vs Numancia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Astorga v Numancia — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Astorga 1-0 Numancia — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Astorga nicked a narrow win over Numancia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Numancia at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Atletico Astorga had 38% of the ball to Numancia's 62%, shots finished 9-5.
What was the final score of Atletico Astorga vs Numancia?
Atletico Astorga 1-0 Numancia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Astorga vs Numancia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Atletico Astorga 22%, draw 30%, Numancia 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Numancia) went the other way.