Burgos Promesas 2000 1-0 Marino De Luanco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.98/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.98
-7% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Marino De Luanco
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.01.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-0 HT 0-0 Burgos Promesas 2000 İS4
03.09.2022 Burgos Promesas 2000 0-0 HT 0-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000
1-0
AWAY Marino De Luanco
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Marino De Luanco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos Promesas 2000 squeezed past Marino De Luanco 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Burgos Promesas 2000 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Burgos Promesas 2000 had 52% of the ball to Marino De Luanco's 48%, shots finished 6-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Marino De Luanco led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Burgos Promesas 2000 and 0.50 for Marino De Luanco.

What was the final score of Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Marino De Luanco?

Burgos Promesas 2000 1-0 Marino De Luanco in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos Promesas 2000 vs Marino De Luanco?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marino De Luanco win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Burgos Promesas 2000 32%, draw 31%, Marino De Luanco 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marino De Luanco), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marino De Luanco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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