Wellington Phoenix (K) 7-0 Sydney (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.68
Over 2.5
55%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
56%
-11.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
44%
+11.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.0pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
0.93/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.36
-37% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -81% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
15.2 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Sydney (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.49 xG 1.08
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
303 Passes 217
69% Pass Accuracy 63%
16 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
15.03.2025 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) AVUSTW
21.12.2024 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
17.03.2024 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-4 HT 0-2 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wellington Phoenix (K)
7-0
AWAY Sydney (K)
4.31 xG 0.53
53% Ball Possession 47%
23 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 6
255 Passes 222
70% Pass Accuracy 69%
34 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 23
POST-MATCH Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Sydney (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix (K) cruised past Sydney (K) 7-0. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Wellington Phoenix (K) made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Wellington Phoenix (K) had 53% of the ball to Sydney (K)'s 47%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 4.31 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sydney (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wellington Phoenix (K) and 2.00 for Sydney (K).

What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Wellington Phoenix (K) 7-0 Sydney (K) in the Australia - W-League on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix (K) 40%, draw 26%, Sydney (K) 35%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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