Lyon-Duchere 1-2 Toulouse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 20 Dec 2025

Lyon-Duchere
1-2 HT 0-0
Toulouse
📅20/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
France - Cup – 2025/2026

Lyon-Duchere vs Toulouse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.78
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
66%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.51
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
37%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
10%
+7.1pp
17%
Draw
17%
-0.6pp
66%
Away Win
73%
-6.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lyon-Duchere v Toulouse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon-Duchere EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Toulouse EU Bookmakers 77%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.68/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/0.85
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -1%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
233 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.5
– Crosses 17.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Lyon-Duchere 1-2 Toulouse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon-Duchere
1-2
AWAY Toulouse
0.85 xG 1.75
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 9
243 Passes 567
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
6 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lyon-Duchere vs Toulouse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toulouse squeezed past Lyon-Duchere 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Toulouse as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lyon-Duchere had 33% of the ball to Toulouse's 67%, shots finished 4-19, expected goals 0.85 to 1.75.

What was the final score of Lyon-Duchere vs Toulouse?

Lyon-Duchere 1-2 Toulouse in the France - Cup on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon-Duchere vs Toulouse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Lyon-Duchere 17%, draw 17%, Toulouse 66%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toulouse), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Toulouse) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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