St. Maur Lusi 0-1 Lille — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
62%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
39%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
14%
+2.7pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.6pp
62%
Away Win
66%
-4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Maur Lusi EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Lille EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
246 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.6
Crosses 6.7
Yellow Cards 0.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Maur Lusi
0-1
AWAY Lille
0.36 xG 1.30
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
212 Passes 474
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
6 Box Touches 48
12 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Maur Lusi vs Lille
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille edged past St. Maur Lusi 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St. Maur Lusi had 35% of the ball to Lille's 65%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.36 to 1.30.

What was the final score of St. Maur Lusi vs Lille?

St. Maur Lusi 0-1 Lille in the France - Cup on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Maur Lusi vs Lille?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split St. Maur Lusi 16%, draw 21%, Lille 62%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lille) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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