Freyming 0-3 US Chantilly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.65
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
59%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.09
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
8%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 28% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
59%
Away Win
57%
+1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.8pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freyming EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY US Chantilly EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
262 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freyming
0-3
AWAY US Chantilly
0.26 xG 1.56
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
130 Passes 347
63% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 29
POST-MATCH Freyming vs US Chantilly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Chantilly cruised past Freyming 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had US Chantilly as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Freyming had 33% of the ball to US Chantilly's 67%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.26 to 1.56.

What was the final score of Freyming vs US Chantilly?

Freyming 0-3 US Chantilly in the France - Cup on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freyming vs US Chantilly?

Before kick-off our model rated an US Chantilly win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Freyming 20%, draw 22%, US Chantilly 59%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (US Chantilly), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (US Chantilly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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