Marcquois vs Troyes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marcquois v Troyes — Team-Based Signals
Marcquois 1-3 Troyes — Actual Match Statistics
Troyes got the better of Marcquois 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Troyes as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Marcquois had 43% of the ball to Troyes's 57%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 1.25 to 1.99.
What was the final score of Marcquois vs Troyes?
Marcquois 1-3 Troyes in the France - Cup on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marcquois vs Troyes?
Before kick-off our model rated an Troyes win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Marcquois 16%, draw 21%, Troyes 63%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Troyes), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.