S. Bethunois 2-4 Sochaux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.91
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
58%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 30% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
14%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
58%
Away Win
62%
-4.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME S. Bethunois EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Sochaux EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -11%
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
237 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME S. Bethunois
2-4
AWAY Sochaux
0.78 xG 2.07
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
168 Passes 369
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH S. Bethunois vs Sochaux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sochaux got the better of S. Bethunois 4-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sochaux as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, S. Bethunois had 37% of the ball to Sochaux's 63%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.78 to 2.07.

What was the final score of S. Bethunois vs Sochaux?

S. Bethunois 2-4 Sochaux in the France - Cup on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for S. Bethunois vs Sochaux?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sochaux win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split S. Bethunois 16%, draw 26%, Sochaux 58%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sochaux) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sochaux) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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