SA Merignac 0-0 Istres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
45%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
3.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
7%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 35% vs market 25.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+7.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
45%
Away Win
52%
-7.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SA Merignac EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Istres EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
242 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SA Merignac
0-0
AWAY Istres
1.09 xG 1.50
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
144 Passes 404
61% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SA Merignac vs Istres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SA Merignac and Istres played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Istres at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, SA Merignac had 34% of the ball to Istres's 66%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.09 to 1.50.

What was the final score of SA Merignac vs Istres?

SA Merignac 0-0 Istres in the France - Cup on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SA Merignac vs Istres?

Before kick-off our model rated an Istres win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SA Merignac 30%, draw 25%, Istres 45%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Istres) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Istres) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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