Caerau (Ely) 1-0 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 20 Dec 2025

Caerau (Ely)
1-0 HT 0-0
Aberystwyth Town
📅20/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2025/2026

Caerau (Ely) vs Aberystwyth Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caerau (Ely) v Aberystwyth Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
2.15/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+10% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +90%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Caerau (Ely) vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caerau (Ely) squeezed past Aberystwyth Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Caerau (Ely) as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Caerau (Ely) vs Aberystwyth Town?

Caerau (Ely) 1-0 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caerau (Ely) vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Caerau (Ely) 43%, draw 28%, Aberystwyth Town 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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