Trethomas Bluebirds 2-1 Baglan Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.95
Over 2.5
58%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.68
No
38%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+6.7pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 32%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -4%
1.99/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.35
+10% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
338 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Baglan Dragons
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
01.03.2025 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 2-0 HT 1-0 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds GALFAW
22.11.2024 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 0-1 HT 0-0 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
02.08.2024 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 3-1 HT 1-0 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALLK
POST-MATCH Trethomas Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trethomas Bluebirds edged past Baglan Dragons 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Trethomas Bluebirds as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Baglan Dragons led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Trethomas Bluebirds and 1.33 for Baglan Dragons.

What was the final score of Trethomas Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons?

Trethomas Bluebirds 2-1 Baglan Dragons in the Wales - FAW Championship on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trethomas Bluebirds win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Trethomas Bluebirds 43%, draw 27%, Baglan Dragons 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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