Trethomas Bluebirds 0-1 Baglan Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.7pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.0pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 28%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.32/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.89
+8% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Baglan Dragons
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.08.2024 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 3-1 HT 1-0 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALLK
POST-MATCH Trethomas Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baglan Dragons edged past Trethomas Bluebirds 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Trethomas Bluebirds at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Trethomas Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons?

Trethomas Bluebirds 0-1 Baglan Dragons in the Wales - FAW Championship on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trethomas Bluebirds win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Trethomas Bluebirds 51%, draw 19%, Baglan Dragons 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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