Bangor 1876 2-2 Holywell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.61
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.39
No
49%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.6pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.1pp
47%
Away Win
43%
+4.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.6pp
49%
BTTS No
32%
+16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangor 1876 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Holywell EU Bookmakers 48%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.45/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/0.71
-14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +135%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
324 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bangor 1876
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Holywell
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
07.09.2024 Holywell Holywell 2-1 HT 1-0 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 GALFAW
20.01.2024 Holywell Holywell 2-1 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 GALFAW
06.10.2023 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 1-4 HT 1-4 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
POST-MATCH Bangor 1876 vs Holywell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangor 1876 and Holywell shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Holywell at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Holywell led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bangor 1876 and 2.67 for Holywell.

What was the final score of Bangor 1876 vs Holywell?

Bangor 1876 2-2 Holywell in the Wales - FAW Championship on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangor 1876 vs Holywell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bangor 1876 34%, draw 19%, Holywell 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Holywell) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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