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Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caerau (Ely) v Afan Lido — Team-Based Signals
Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
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4-1
HT 3-0
Afan Lido
GALWK
3-1
HT 0-1
Caerau (Ely)
GALFAW
Caerau (Ely) swept aside Afan Lido 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Caerau (Ely) as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Caerau (Ely) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Caerau (Ely) and 2.00 for Afan Lido.
What was the final score of Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido?
Caerau (Ely) 3-0 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caerau (Ely) vs Afan Lido?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Caerau (Ely) 59%, draw 19%, Afan Lido 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.