Newport City 2-2 Taffs Well — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 22 Nov 2024

Newport City
2-2 HT 1-1
Taffs Well
📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Newport City vs Taffs Well Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-6.9pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.9pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+9.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newport City v Taffs Well — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newport City EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 23%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.00/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.37
-58% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
398 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Newport City vs Taffs Well
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newport City and Taffs Well couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Newport City at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Newport City vs Taffs Well?

Newport City 2-2 Taffs Well in the Wales - FAW Championship on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newport City vs Taffs Well?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newport City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Newport City 51%, draw 19%, Taffs Well 30%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newport City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newport City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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