Trefelin 0-1 Ammanford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.89
Over 2.5
54%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-10.6pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.6pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
31%
+14.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
69%
-14.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.4pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Ammanford EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.68/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.63
-20% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Ammanford
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2024 Trefelin Trefelin 1-2 HT 0-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
15.12.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 1-1 HT 0-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
13.10.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 2-2 HT 1-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALWK
05.08.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 2-2 HT 0-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALLK
17.02.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 1-1 HT 1-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
18.11.2022 Trefelin Trefelin 4-2 HT 1-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Ammanford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ammanford nicked a narrow win over Trefelin 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Ammanford made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Trefelin and 1.67 for Ammanford.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Ammanford?

Trefelin 0-1 Ammanford in the Wales - FAW Championship on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Ammanford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trefelin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 40%, draw 29%, Ammanford 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Trefelin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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