Trefelin 1-2 Ammanford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.63
Over 2.5
50%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.41
No
44%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.8pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.2pp
46%
Away Win
50%
-4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
34%
+15.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
66%
-15.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.6pp
44%
BTTS No
33%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trefelin EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ammanford EU Bookmakers 55%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.54/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.02
+10% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / +36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trefelin
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Ammanford
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 1-1 HT 0-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
13.10.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 2-2 HT 1-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALWK
05.08.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 2-2 HT 0-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALLK
17.02.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 1-1 HT 1-1 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
18.11.2022 Trefelin Trefelin 4-2 HT 1-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
18.12.2021 Trefelin Trefelin 1-1 HT 1-1 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
POST-MATCH Trefelin vs Ammanford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ammanford squeezed past Trefelin 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ammanford as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trefelin had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Trefelin and 1.50 for Ammanford.

What was the final score of Trefelin vs Ammanford?

Trefelin 1-2 Ammanford in the Wales - FAW Championship on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trefelin vs Ammanford?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Trefelin 24%, draw 30%, Ammanford 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ammanford), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ammanford) ✓ BTTS Yes
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