Caerau (Ely) 1-0 Taffs Well — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 27 Feb 2024

Caerau (Ely)
1-0 HT 1-0
Taffs Well
📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Caerau (Ely) vs Taffs Well Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.12
Draw
17%
3.8
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.96
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.33
No
39%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
43%
+7.4pp
17%
Draw
23%
-5.9pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.5pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.2pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
71%
-10.4pp
39%
BTTS No
29%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caerau (Ely) v Taffs Well — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 37%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
4.00/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.20
+104% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +44%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Caerau (Ely) vs Taffs Well
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caerau (Ely) edged past Taffs Well 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Caerau (Ely) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Caerau (Ely) vs Taffs Well?

Caerau (Ely) 1-0 Taffs Well in the Wales - FAW Championship on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caerau (Ely) vs Taffs Well?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Caerau (Ely) 51%, draw 17%, Taffs Well 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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