Denbigh Town 4-3 Prestatyn Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
15%
4.62
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
25%
3.46
Over 2.5
75%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.43
No
34%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
25%
4-5 Goals
42%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-5.9pp
15%
Draw
18%
-3.1pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.1pp
25%
Under 2.5
25%
-0.4pp
75%
Over 2.5
75%
+0.4pp
66%
BTTS Yes
66%
+0.7pp
34%
BTTS No
34%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Prestatyn Town EU Bookmakers 20%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
3.50/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/2.70
+55% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denbigh Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Prestatyn Town
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
17.11.2023 Prestatyn Town Prestatyn Town 0-3 HT 0-3 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Denbigh Town vs Prestatyn Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town squeezed past Prestatyn Town 4-3. Half-time: 3-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Denbigh Town as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Denbigh Town vs Prestatyn Town?

Denbigh Town 4-3 Prestatyn Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denbigh Town vs Prestatyn Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Denbigh Town win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 59%, draw 15%, Prestatyn Town 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Denbigh Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Denbigh Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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