Holywell 4-2 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 27 Feb 2024

📅27/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.32
Draw
26%
4.95
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.82
No
42%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
72%
-18.2pp
25%
Draw
17%
+8.1pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.4pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 14%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.45/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/3.12
-7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -18%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
420 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Guilsfield
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
11.02.2023 Holywell Holywell 4-0 HT 2-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
14.01.2023 Guilsfield 1-2 HT 0-2 Holywell Holywell GALWK
06.09.2022 Guilsfield 1-2 HT 0-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
29.01.2022 Holywell Holywell 3-0 HT 1-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell beat Guilsfield 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Holywell had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Holywell and 0.50 for Guilsfield.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Guilsfield?

Holywell 4-2 Guilsfield in the Wales - FAW Championship on 27/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Holywell 53%, draw 25%, Guilsfield 21%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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