Holywell 2-1 Bangor 1876 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 7 Sep 2024

📅07/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.61
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-9.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangor 1876 EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.48/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.90
+11% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Bangor 1876
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
20.01.2024 Holywell Holywell 2-1 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 GALFAW
06.10.2023 Bangor 1876 Bangor 1876 1-4 HT 1-4 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Bangor 1876
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell edged past Bangor 1876 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Holywell had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Holywell and 1.00 for Bangor 1876.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Bangor 1876?

Holywell 2-1 Bangor 1876 in the Wales - FAW Championship on 07/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Bangor 1876?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Holywell 49%, draw 25%, Bangor 1876 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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