Trethomas Bluebirds 3-1 Baglan Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+13.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-13.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.7pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
386 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Trethomas Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trethomas Bluebirds beat Baglan Dragons 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trethomas Bluebirds as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Trethomas Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons?

Trethomas Bluebirds 3-1 Baglan Dragons in the Wales - League Cup on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trethomas Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trethomas Bluebirds win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Trethomas Bluebirds 46%, draw 24%, Baglan Dragons 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trethomas Bluebirds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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