Cardiff City U21 3-1 Pontypridd Town AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.59
Over 2.5
67%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-12.9pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.2pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.7pp
33%
Under 2.5
35%
-1.7pp
67%
Over 2.5
65%
+1.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City U21 EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontypridd Town AFC EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
373 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Cardiff City U21 vs Pontypridd Town AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City U21 beat Pontypridd Town AFC 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cardiff City U21 as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Cardiff City U21 vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Cardiff City U21 3-1 Pontypridd Town AFC in the Wales - League Cup on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City U21 vs Pontypridd Town AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City U21 50%, draw 25%, Pontypridd Town AFC 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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