Barry Town 1-1 Llanelli Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.92
Draw
17%
3.64
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.49
No
55%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
48%
+5.8pp
17%
Draw
24%
-6.6pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
63%
-17.8pp
55%
BTTS No
37%
+17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barry Town EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
373 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barry Town
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Llanelli Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.01.2023 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Barry Town Barry Town GALFAW
21.10.2022 Barry Town Barry Town 3-1 HT 3-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Barry Town vs Llanelli Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barry Town and Llanelli Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Barry Town at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barry Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Barry Town and 1.00 for Llanelli Town.

What was the final score of Barry Town vs Llanelli Town?

Barry Town 1-1 Llanelli Town in the Wales - League Cup on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barry Town vs Llanelli Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barry Town win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Barry Town 54%, draw 17%, Llanelli Town 29%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barry Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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