The New Saints 5-1 Flint Town United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - League Cup, 2 Aug 2024

📅02/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.11
Draw
22%
8.78
Away
9%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.0
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
27%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
84%
-15.8pp
22%
Draw
8%
+14.3pp
9%
Away Win
8%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 11%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
5.05/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
+86% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -32%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
504 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 174 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Flint Town United
4.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2023 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-8 HT 1-4 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
27.09.2022 The New Saints The New Saints 6-2 HT 2-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
15.04.2022 The New Saints The New Saints 7-0 HT 2-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
04.03.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-2 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
22.10.2021 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-1 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
31.08.2021 The New Saints The New Saints 1-0 HT 0-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Flint Town United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints swept aside Flint Town United 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 4.17 goals for The New Saints and 0.83 for Flint Town United.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Flint Town United?

The New Saints 5-1 Flint Town United in the Wales - League Cup on 02/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Flint Town United?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 68%, draw 22%, Flint Town United 9%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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