Baglan Dragons 2-0 Trethomas Bluebirds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
39%
3.28
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
25%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.8pp
39%
Draw
27%
+11.7pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.12/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.25
-31% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +36%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
253 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baglan Dragons
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Trethomas Bluebirds
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
22.11.2024 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 0-1 HT 0-0 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
02.08.2024 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 3-1 HT 1-0 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALLK
POST-MATCH Baglan Dragons vs Trethomas Bluebirds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baglan Dragons got the better of Trethomas Bluebirds 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 39% / 33% — and on the day Baglan Dragons made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Baglan Dragons and 1.50 for Trethomas Bluebirds.

What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Baglan Dragons 2-0 Trethomas Bluebirds in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baglan Dragons vs Trethomas Bluebirds?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 28%, draw 39%, Trethomas Bluebirds 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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