Mold Alexandra 1-3 Gresford Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.82
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
51%
+7.6pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.7pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.2pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.77/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.52
-12% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mold Alexandra
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Gresford Athletic
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.11.2024 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 2-2 HT 1-0 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
23.03.2024 Mold Alexandra 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
17.11.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-5 HT 0-3 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
25.03.2023 Mold Alexandra 1-2 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
12.08.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
POST-MATCH Mold Alexandra vs Gresford Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gresford Athletic saw off Mold Alexandra 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

This one beat our numbers. Mold Alexandra carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Mold Alexandra had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mold Alexandra and 1.00 for Gresford Athletic.

What was the final score of Mold Alexandra vs Gresford Athletic?

Mold Alexandra 1-3 Gresford Athletic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mold Alexandra vs Gresford Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Mold Alexandra 58%, draw 19%, Gresford Athletic 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mold Alexandra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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