Carmarthen Town 2-2 Afan Lido — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Mar 2025

Carmarthen Town
2-2 HT 1-0
Afan Lido
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2024/2025

Carmarthen Town vs Afan Lido Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.0pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.6pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Carmarthen Town v Afan Lido — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
2.28/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.94
-4% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
300 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Carmarthen Town vs Afan Lido Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carmarthen Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Afan Lido
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.09.2024 Afan Lido Afan Lido 3-3 HT 0-3 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
02.02.2024 Afan Lido Afan Lido 4-1 HT 2-1 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
30.09.2023 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 3-3 HT 1-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
03.02.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 3-0 HT 2-0 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town GALFAW
01.10.2022 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 0-3 HT 0-2 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
18.12.2021 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 4-0 HT 0-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Afan Lido
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town and Afan Lido shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Carmarthen Town at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Afan Lido led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Carmarthen Town and 2.67 for Afan Lido.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Afan Lido?

Carmarthen Town 2-2 Afan Lido in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Afan Lido?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 53%, draw 26%, Afan Lido 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carmarthen Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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