Airbus UK 1-1 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
68%
-7.7pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.5pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+2.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airbus UK EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
3.57/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.34
+31% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +71%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
448 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airbus UK
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Guilsfield
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
10.08.2024 Guilsfield 1-2 HT 0-0 Airbus UK Airbus UK GALFAW
29.07.2023 Airbus UK Airbus UK 3-0 HT 0-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
23.04.2022 Guilsfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Airbus UK Airbus UK GALFAW
19.11.2021 Airbus UK Airbus UK 2-2 HT 1-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Airbus UK vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airbus UK and Guilsfield couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Airbus UK at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Airbus UK had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Airbus UK and 0.75 for Guilsfield.

What was the final score of Airbus UK vs Guilsfield?

Airbus UK 1-1 Guilsfield in the Wales - FAW Championship on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airbus UK vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Airbus UK win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Airbus UK 61%, draw 23%, Guilsfield 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Airbus UK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Airbus UK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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