Gresford Athletic 2-2 Mold Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
4.04
Draw
33%
4.19
Away
52%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
22%
-6.8pp
33%
Draw
21%
+12.7pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-5.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+13.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-13.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.3pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gresford Athletic EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 62%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.09/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.32/1.00
-26% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gresford Athletic
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Mold Alexandra
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
23.03.2024 Mold Alexandra 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
17.11.2023 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 1-5 HT 0-3 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
25.03.2023 Mold Alexandra 1-2 HT 1-0 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic GALFAW
12.08.2022 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Mold Alexandra GALFAW
POST-MATCH Gresford Athletic vs Mold Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gresford Athletic and Mold Alexandra couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Mold Alexandra at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mold Alexandra led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Gresford Athletic and 2.00 for Mold Alexandra.

What was the final score of Gresford Athletic vs Mold Alexandra?

Gresford Athletic 2-2 Mold Alexandra in the Wales - FAW Championship on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gresford Athletic vs Mold Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gresford Athletic 15%, draw 33%, Mold Alexandra 52%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mold Alexandra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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