Afan Lido 4-1 Cwmbran Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.32
No
34%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+10.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-10.6pp
66%
BTTS Yes
72%
-5.7pp
34%
BTTS No
28%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afan Lido EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.94/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/2.95
-10% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
388 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afan Lido
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Cwmbran Celtic
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
17.02.2024 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 2-0 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
27.10.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-1 HT 0-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
17.02.2023 Afan Lido Afan Lido 2-1 HT 0-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
19.11.2022 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-4 HT 0-2 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
05.08.2022 Afan Lido Afan Lido 5-2 HT 3-1 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALLK
12.02.2022 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 0-5 HT 0-3 Afan Lido Afan Lido GALFAW
POST-MATCH Afan Lido vs Cwmbran Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afan Lido ran out comfortable winners over Cwmbran Celtic 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Afan Lido as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Afan Lido had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Afan Lido and 1.17 for Cwmbran Celtic.

What was the final score of Afan Lido vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Afan Lido 4-1 Cwmbran Celtic in the Wales - FAW Championship on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afan Lido vs Cwmbran Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afan Lido win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Afan Lido 46%, draw 23%, Cwmbran Celtic 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Afan Lido), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Afan Lido) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
8 Nov 2024
22:30 Llanelli Town vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers Analysis →
22:30 Ammanford vs Caerau (Ely) Analysis →
22:30 Taffs Well vs Llantwit Major Analysis →
22:30 Goytre United vs Trefelin Analysis →
22:45 Gresford Athletic vs Mold Alexandra Analysis →
22:45 Denbigh Town vs Airbus UK Analysis →