Ammanford 0-2 Caerau (Ely) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.33
No
43%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
71%
-14.1pp
43%
BTTS No
29%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ammanford EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.46/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/2.89
+33% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ammanford
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Caerau (Ely)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.03.2024 Ammanford Ammanford 1-1 HT 1-0 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) GALFAW
12.08.2023 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 1-2 HT 0-0 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
POST-MATCH Ammanford vs Caerau (Ely)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caerau (Ely) got the better of Ammanford 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Caerau (Ely) made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ammanford had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ammanford and 1.00 for Caerau (Ely).

What was the final score of Ammanford vs Caerau (Ely)?

Ammanford 0-2 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - FAW Championship on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ammanford vs Caerau (Ely)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ammanford win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ammanford 38%, draw 24%, Caerau (Ely) 38%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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