Taffs Well 3-0 Llantwit Major — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
54%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.61
No
38%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
23%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
27%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
54%
Away Win
48%
+5.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.0pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 52%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.78/2.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.68
+14% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +132%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
302 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taffs Well
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Llantwit Major
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
26.08.2024 Llantwit Major 4-1 HT 2-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
23.02.2024 Taffs Well Taffs Well 2-2 HT 1-2 Llantwit Major GALFAW
25.11.2023 Llantwit Major 1-3 HT 0-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
07.01.2023 Llantwit Major 2-2 HT 1-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
28.10.2022 Taffs Well Taffs Well 0-1 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
02.10.2021 Llantwit Major 4-2 HT 1-0 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
POST-MATCH Taffs Well vs Llantwit Major
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taffs Well ran out comfortable winners over Llantwit Major 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Llantwit Major at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Llantwit Major led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Taffs Well and 2.33 for Llantwit Major.

What was the final score of Taffs Well vs Llantwit Major?

Taffs Well 3-0 Llantwit Major in the Wales - FAW Championship on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taffs Well vs Llantwit Major?

Before kick-off our model rated an Llantwit Major win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Taffs Well 20%, draw 26%, Llantwit Major 54%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Llantwit Major), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Llantwit Major) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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