Llantwit Major 4-1 Taffs Well — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.5
No
37%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.7pp
63%
BTTS Yes
62%
+0.4pp
37%
BTTS No
38%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Taffs Well EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.17/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.48
-40% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llantwit Major
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Taffs Well
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
23.02.2024 Taffs Well Taffs Well 2-2 HT 1-2 Llantwit Major GALFAW
25.11.2023 Llantwit Major 1-3 HT 0-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
07.01.2023 Llantwit Major 2-2 HT 1-1 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
28.10.2022 Taffs Well Taffs Well 0-1 HT 0-0 Llantwit Major GALFAW
02.10.2021 Llantwit Major 4-2 HT 1-0 Taffs Well Taffs Well GALFAW
24.09.2021 Taffs Well Taffs Well 2-1 HT 2-0 Llantwit Major GALWK
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Taffs Well
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major cruised past Taffs Well 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Llantwit Major made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Llantwit Major and 1.83 for Taffs Well.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Taffs Well?

Llantwit Major 4-1 Taffs Well in the Wales - FAW Championship on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Taffs Well?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llantwit Major win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 39%, draw 27%, Taffs Well 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llantwit Major), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Llantwit Major) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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