Denbigh Town 0-4 Airbus UK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
55%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
22%
3.94
Over 2.5
78%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
72%
1.31
No
28%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
26%
4-5 Goals
39%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
17%
+8.1pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-11.3pp
22%
Under 2.5
22%
+0.8pp
78%
Over 2.5
78%
-0.8pp
72%
BTTS Yes
72%
-0.7pp
28%
BTTS No
28%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Airbus UK EU Bookmakers 71%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.71/3.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.77/0.85
+40% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +28%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
216 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 489 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denbigh Town
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Airbus UK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
26.07.2024 Airbus UK Airbus UK 7-0 HT 0-0 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
02.03.2024 Airbus UK Airbus UK 3-1 HT 2-1 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town GALFAW
08.09.2023 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Airbus UK Airbus UK GALFAW
POST-MATCH Denbigh Town vs Airbus UK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airbus UK cruised past Denbigh Town 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Airbus UK as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (78%) landed while both teams to score (72%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Airbus UK led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Denbigh Town and 3.33 for Airbus UK.

What was the final score of Denbigh Town vs Airbus UK?

Denbigh Town 0-4 Airbus UK in the Wales - FAW Championship on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denbigh Town vs Airbus UK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Airbus UK win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 20%, draw 25%, Airbus UK 55%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Airbus UK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Airbus UK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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