Airbus UK 3-1 Denbigh Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 2 Mar 2024

Airbus UK
3-1 HT 2-1
Denbigh Town
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Airbus UK vs Denbigh Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.33
Draw
23%
5.15
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.94
Over 2.5
56%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
71%
-17.6pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.1pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
22%
+22.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
78%
-22.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.4pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Airbus UK v Denbigh Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Airbus UK EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 16%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+19% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
433 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards –

Airbus UK vs Denbigh Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Airbus UK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Denbigh Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
08.09.2023 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Airbus UK Airbus UK GALFAW
POST-MATCH Airbus UK vs Denbigh Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Airbus UK beat Denbigh Town 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Airbus UK as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Airbus UK vs Denbigh Town?

Airbus UK 3-1 Denbigh Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Airbus UK vs Denbigh Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Airbus UK win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Airbus UK 53%, draw 22%, Denbigh Town 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Airbus UK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Airbus UK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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