Racing Beirut 1-4 Al Nejmeh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
6%
12.23
Draw
18%
8.11
Away
76%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
3.73
No
61%
1.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
2%
X/2
26%
X/X
9%
2/1
2%
2/2
46%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
6%
Home Win
5%
+0.9pp
17%
Draw
9%
+8.4pp
76%
Away Win
86%
-9.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
23%
+15.7pp
61%
BTTS No
77%
-15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Beirut EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nejmeh EU Bookmakers 91%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
0.31/3.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/0.62
-55% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / -2%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
280 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 572 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Beirut
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Nejmeh
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
02.03.2025 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh LUBN
POST-MATCH Racing Beirut vs Al Nejmeh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nejmeh cruised past Racing Beirut 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nejmeh as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Racing Beirut vs Al Nejmeh?

Racing Beirut 1-4 Al Nejmeh in the Lebanon - Premier League on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Beirut vs Al Nejmeh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nejmeh win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Racing Beirut 6%, draw 17%, Al Nejmeh 76%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nejmeh), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nejmeh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
20 Dec 2025
17:00 Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed Analysis →