Shabab Al Sahel 2-1 Al Ahed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Al Sahel EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 57%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.18/0.72
-100% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / -11%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
245 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shabab Al Sahel
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Ahed
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 8.00
30.03.2025 Shabab Al Sahel Shabab Al Sahel 1-8 HT 1-2 Al Ahed Al Ahed LUBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shabab Al Sahel
2-1
AWAY Al Ahed
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shabab Al Sahel edged past Al Ahed 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ahed at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Shabab Al Sahel had 40% of the ball to Al Ahed's 60%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed?

Shabab Al Sahel 2-1 Al Ahed in the Lebanon - Premier League on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Al Sahel vs Al Ahed?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Shabab Al Sahel 25%, draw 26%, Al Ahed 50%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahed) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
20 Dec 2025
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