Iğdır FK 1-1 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.45
6+ Goals
8%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.39
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
22%
4.41
X/2
13%
8.77
X/X
14%
5.02
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.0
2/2
9%
6.86
2/X
6%
15.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Iğdır FK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 26%
-15% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -22%
1.60/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.40
-16% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
20.9 Crosses 16.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Iğdır FK
1-1
AWAY Sivasspor
2.01 xG 0.84
69% Ball Possession 31%
24 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 0
497 Passes 187
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
37 Box Touches 15
36 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Iğdır FK vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Iğdır FK and Sivasspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Iğdır FK at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Iğdır FK had 69% of the ball to Sivasspor's 31%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 2.01 to 0.84.

What was the final score of Iğdır FK vs Sivasspor?

Iğdır FK 1-1 Sivasspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Iğdır FK vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Iğdır FK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Iğdır FK 48%, draw 26%, Sivasspor 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Iğdır FK), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Iğdır FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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