Manisa FK 2-2 Keçiörengücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.94
6+ Goals
14%
8.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.88
1/2
10%
24.45
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
11%
6.22
X/2
9%
5.7
X/X
10%
5.43
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
26.0
2/2
22%
3.39
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.0pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.7pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +15%
1.47/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.08
-6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
15.8 Crosses 14.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Keçiörengücü
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.91 xG 1.19
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
343 Passes 326
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-2 HT 1-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
23.11.2024 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 4-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
21.01.2024 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-1 HT 1-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
20.08.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
29.04.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 0-3 HT 0-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
04.12.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
2-2
AWAY Keçiörengücü
0.67 xG 1.82
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
350 Passes 248
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs Keçiörengücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manisa FK and Keçiörengücü shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 41% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Manisa FK had 56% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 44%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.67 to 1.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keçiörengücü led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Manisa FK and 1.17 for Keçiörengücü.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Keçiörengücü?

Manisa FK 2-2 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Keçiörengücü?

Before kick-off our model rated an Keçiörengücü win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 37%, draw 22%, Keçiörengücü 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Keçiörengücü) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Keçiörengücü) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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