Keçiörengücü 4-0 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.05
6+ Goals
9%
18.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 30% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.76
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
16%
5.36
X/2
17%
5.56
X/X
14%
4.34
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
12%
3.96
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.19/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.17
+13% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
17.3 Crosses 18.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keçiörengücü
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Manisa FK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 1.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
334 Passes 271
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-1 HT 1-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
20.08.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
29.04.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 0-3 HT 0-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
04.12.2022 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
08.05.2022 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 2-1 HT 1-1 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
14.12.2021 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-1 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keçiörengücü
4-0
AWAY Manisa FK
1.85 xG 0.82
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
335 Passes 310
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 40
12 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Keçiörengücü vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keçiörengücü cruised past Manisa FK 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Keçiörengücü made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Keçiörengücü had 51% of the ball to Manisa FK's 49%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.85 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Keçiörengücü and 1.00 for Manisa FK.

What was the final score of Keçiörengücü vs Manisa FK?

Keçiörengücü 4-0 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keçiörengücü vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keçiörengücü win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Keçiörengücü 36%, draw 29%, Manisa FK 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keçiörengücü), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Keçiörengücü) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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