Boluspor 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.77
2-3 Goals
35%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.32
6+ Goals
10%
21.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 35% vs market 30.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.73
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
16%
4.3
X/2
13%
7.66
X/X
18%
4.22
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
8%
6.15
2/X
8%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-7.5pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.3pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boluspor EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.42/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.33
-18% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
21.5 Crosses 17.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boluspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.76 xG 2.07
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 Passes 330
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.01.2024 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
27.08.2023 Boluspor Boluspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
07.05.2017 Boluspor Boluspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
17.12.2016 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 4-0 HT 2-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
27.02.2016 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 2-2 HT 1-2 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
27.09.2015 Boluspor Boluspor 4-2 HT 2-1 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boluspor
1-0
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
0.99 xG 0.71
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 7
164 Passes 151
50% Pass Accuracy 47%
31 Box Touches 31
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boluspor vs Şanlıurfaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boluspor nicked a narrow win over Şanlıurfaspor 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 33% / 27%) promised a tight game; Boluspor found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Boluspor had 51% of the ball to Şanlıurfaspor's 49%, shots finished 16-19, expected goals 0.99 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Boluspor and 1.83 for Şanlıurfaspor.

What was the final score of Boluspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Boluspor 1-0 Şanlıurfaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boluspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boluspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 40%, draw 33%, Şanlıurfaspor 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boluspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boluspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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